SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Result

Final: SC Freiburg 1, Bayer Leverkusen 2 (Bayer Leverkusen won). Mel’s pick (Bayer Leverkusen win 58% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Bayer Leverkusen win 58% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• SC Freiburg: 20%
• Draw: 23%
• Bayer Leverkusen: 58%

Projected score

SC Freiburg 1, Bayer Leverkusen 2 expected goals.

Mel vs the betting line

The total is 3.5; Mel’s projected 3.3 is right around it.

Recent form

SC Freiburg (4-1-0) scored 2.8 and allowed 0.8 goals a game over their last 5.

Bayer Leverkusen (3-1-1) scored 2.8 and allowed 1.6 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 9:02 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.