Bayer Leverkusen vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction

Result

Final: Bayer Leverkusen 0, TSG Hoffenheim 3 (TSG Hoffenheim won). Mel’s pick (Bayer Leverkusen win 48% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Bayer Leverkusen win 48% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Bayer Leverkusen: 48%
• Draw: 23%
• TSG Hoffenheim: 29%

Projected score

Bayer Leverkusen 2, TSG Hoffenheim 1 expected goals.

Mel vs the betting line

The total is 3.5; Mel projects 2.8 goals, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen (4-1-1) scored 2.8 and allowed 1.2 goals a game over their last 5.

TSG Hoffenheim (2-0-4) scored 1.8 and allowed 2.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 25, 9:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.