Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction

Result

Final: Miami Hurricanes 38, North Carolina Tar Heels 35 (Miami Hurricanes won). Mel’s pick (Miami Hurricanes win 88% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Miami Hurricanes win 88% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Miami Hurricanes: 88%
• North Carolina Tar Heels: 12%

Projected score

Miami Hurricanes 36, North Carolina Tar Heels 19. 13% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Miami Hurricanes −14. Mel projects Miami Hurricanes by 16.2, so the simulation leans Miami Hurricanes -14 against the spread.

The total is 53.5; Mel’s projected 54.9 is right around it.

Recent form

Miami Hurricanes (7-0) scored 44.2 and allowed 18.8 points a game over their last 5.

North Carolina Tar Heels (4-3) scored 24.2 and allowed 26.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.