Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction
College football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 7:45 PM ET · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · SEC Network
Result
Final: Missouri Tigers 34, Arkansas Razorbacks 10 (Missouri Tigers won). Mel’s pick (Missouri Tigers win 79% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Missouri Tigers win 79% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Missouri Tigers: 79%
- Arkansas Razorbacks: 21%
Projected score
Missouri Tigers 30, Arkansas Razorbacks 19. 19% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Missouri Tigers −10. Mel projects Missouri Tigers by 11.4, so the simulation leans Missouri Tigers -10 against the spread.
The total is 48.5; Mel’s projected 48.9 is right around it.
Recent form
Missouri Tigers (5-2) scored 25.2 and allowed 20.4 points a game over their last 5.
Arkansas Razorbacks (3-4) scored 21.2 and allowed 26 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 6:08 PM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.