Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Premier League · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 11:30 AM ET · The City Ground · Peacock
Result
Final: Arsenal 1, Nottingham Forest 0 (Arsenal won). Mel’s pick (Nottingham Forest win 41% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.
Mel’s pick
Nottingham Forest win 41% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Arsenal: 36%
- Draw: 23%
- Nottingham Forest: 41%
Projected score
Arsenal 1, Nottingham Forest 2 expected goals.
Mel vs the betting line
The total is 2.5; Mel projects 3 goals, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Arsenal (5-0-1) scored 1.4 and allowed 1 goals a game over their last 5.
Nottingham Forest (1-2-3) scored 1 and allowed 1.6 goals a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 9:02 AM ET.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.