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Stade Rennais vs Paris FC prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 11:15 AM ET · Stade Jean Bouin

Result

Final: Stade Rennais 3, Paris FC 4 (Paris FC won). Mel’s pick (Paris FC win 45% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Paris FC win 45% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Stade Rennais 2, Paris FC 1 expected goals.

Mel vs the betting line

The total is 2.5; Mel projects 2.9 goals, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Stade Rennais (4-1-1) scored 2 and allowed 1.6 goals a game over their last 5.

Paris FC (3-2-1) scored 2 and allowed 1 goals a game over their last 4.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 9:02 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.