Alavés vs Celta Vigo prediction

Result

Final: Alavés 1, Celta Vigo 2 (Celta Vigo won). Mel’s pick (Celta Vigo win 46% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Celta Vigo win 46% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Alavés: 31%
• Draw: 23%
• Celta Vigo: 46%

Projected score

Alavés 2, Celta Vigo 1 expected goals.

Mel vs the betting line

The total is 2.5; Mel’s projected 2.6 is right around it.

Recent form

Alavés (3-2-3) scored 1.6 and allowed 1.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Celta Vigo (1-5-2) scored 1.6 and allowed 1.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 9:02 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.