Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction

Result

Final: Real Madrid 2, Barcelona 1 (Real Madrid won). Mel’s pick (Barcelona win 57% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Barcelona win 57% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Real Madrid: 22%
• Draw: 22%
• Barcelona: 57%

Projected score

Real Madrid 1, Barcelona 2 expected goals.

Mel vs the betting line

The total is 4.5; Mel projects 3.1 goals, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Real Madrid (7-0-2) scored 2.6 and allowed 1.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Barcelona (9-0-0) scored 4.4 and allowed 1.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 25, 9:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.