Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction

Result

Final: Cleveland Guardians 3, Tampa Bay Rays 7 (Tampa Bay Rays won). Mel’s pick (Tampa Bay Rays win 57% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Tampa Bay Rays win 57% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Cleveland Guardians: 43%
• Tampa Bay Rays: 57%

Projected score

Cleveland Guardians 4, Tampa Bay Rays 3. 30% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Tampa Bay Rays −1.5. Mel projects Tampa Bay Rays by 0.4, so the simulation leans Cleveland Guardians +1.5 against the spread.

The total is 6.5; Mel’s projected 6.5 is right around it.

Recent form

Cleveland Guardians (85-77) scored 3 and allowed 3.6 runs a game over their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) scored 3.6 and allowed 3 runs a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 19, 9:02 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.