Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Result

Final: Denver Nuggets 104, New Orleans Pelicans 91 (Denver Nuggets won). Mel’s pick (Denver Nuggets win 60% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Denver Nuggets win 60% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Denver Nuggets: 60%
• New Orleans Pelicans: 40%

Projected score

Denver Nuggets 123, New Orleans Pelicans 118. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Denver Nuggets by about 4.7) is close to the line (Denver Nuggets −5.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 241.5; Mel’s projected 241.4 is right around it.

Recent form

Denver Nuggets (1-2) scored 114 and allowed 118.6 points a game over their last 5.

New Orleans Pelicans (0-3) scored 116.4 and allowed 117.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 28, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.