Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction
NBA · Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Target Center · NBA League Pass
Result
Final: Golden State Warriors 119, Minnesota Timberwolves 114 (Golden State Warriors won). Mel’s pick (Golden State Warriors win 54% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Golden State Warriors win 54% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Golden State Warriors: 54%
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 46%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 115, Minnesota Timberwolves 118. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Mel’s margin (Golden State Warriors by about 4.2) is close to the line (Minnesota Timberwolves −3.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.
The total is 228.5; Mel projects 232.8 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Golden State Warriors (1-3) scored 119.4 and allowed 120.2 points a game over their last 5.
Minnesota Timberwolves (3-1) scored 120.8 and allowed 110.6 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 28, 9:11 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.