Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

Result

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 96, Dallas Mavericks 120 (Dallas Mavericks won). Mel’s pick (Oklahoma City Thunder win 61% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Oklahoma City Thunder win 61% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Oklahoma City Thunder: 61%
• Dallas Mavericks: 39%

Projected score

Oklahoma City Thunder 118, Dallas Mavericks 113. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Oklahoma City Thunder by about 4.5) is close to the line (Oklahoma City Thunder −5.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 229.5; Mel projects 231.3 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Oklahoma City Thunder (4-0) scored 106.8 and allowed 103.8 points a game over their last 5.

Dallas Mavericks (2-2) scored 112.2 and allowed 119.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 28, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.