Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat prediction

Result

Final: Indiana Pacers 125, Miami Heat 145 (Miami Heat won). Mel’s pick (Miami Heat win 53% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Miami Heat win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Indiana Pacers: 47%
• Miami Heat: 53%

Projected score

Indiana Pacers 113, Miami Heat 119. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Miami Heat −8.5. Mel projects Miami Heat by 5.5, so the simulation leans Indiana Pacers +8.5 against the spread.

The total is 237.5; Mel projects 232 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Indiana Pacers (2-3) scored 115 and allowed 114.8 points a game over their last 5.

Miami Heat (1-4) scored 113 and allowed 120.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 30, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.