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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets prediction

NBA · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · Toyota Center (Houston) · NBA TV

Result

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 98, Houston Rockets 119 (Houston Rockets won). Mel’s pick (Oklahoma City Thunder win 53% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Oklahoma City Thunder win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Oklahoma City Thunder 103, Houston Rockets 113. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Houston Rockets −2.5. Mel projects Houston Rockets by 9.4, so the simulation leans Houston Rockets -2.5 against the spread.

The total is 218.5; Mel projects 216.1 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Oklahoma City Thunder (4-1) scored 108.2 and allowed 104.6 points a game over their last 5.

Houston Rockets (5-1) scored 119.6 and allowed 110 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 9:12 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.