Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction

Result

Final: Buffalo Bills 33, Las Vegas Raiders 30 (Buffalo Bills won). Mel’s pick (Buffalo Bills win 67% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Buffalo Bills win 67% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Buffalo Bills: 67%
• Las Vegas Raiders: 33%

Projected score

Buffalo Bills 32, Las Vegas Raiders 26. 18% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Buffalo Bills by about 5.7) is close to the line (Buffalo Bills −5.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 53.5; Mel projects 57.9 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Buffalo Bills (4-1) scored 32.8 and allowed 28.2 points a game over their last 5.

Las Vegas Raiders (3-2) scored 26.4 and allowed 25.8 points a game over their last 5.

Who’s out

• Buffalo Bills: DJ Moore (WR) – Questionable, T.J. Sanders (LDE) – Questionable

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 2:50 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.