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Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers prediction

NFL · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Lambeau Field · NBC

Result

Final: Dallas Cowboys 13, Green Bay Packers 23 (Green Bay Packers won). Mel’s pick (Green Bay Packers win 53% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Green Bay Packers win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Dallas Cowboys 28, Green Bay Packers 28. 23% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Green Bay Packers by about 0.7) is close to the line (Green Bay Packers −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 53.5; Mel projects 56 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Dallas Cowboys (2-3) scored 27.6 and allowed 27.2 points a game over their last 5.

Green Bay Packers (3-2) scored 20.8 and allowed 22.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 6:40 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.