New York Jets vs New England Patriots prediction
NFL · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium · CBS
Result
Final: New York Jets 19, New England Patriots 26 (New England Patriots won). Mel’s pick (New England Patriots win 72% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
New England Patriots win 72% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- New York Jets: 28%
- New England Patriots: 72%
Projected score
New York Jets 19, New England Patriots 26. 18% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Mel’s margin (New England Patriots by about 6.9) is close to the line (New England Patriots −7.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.
The total is 43.5; Mel projects 45 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
New York Jets (2-3) scored 18.6 and allowed 19.2 points a game over their last 5.
New England Patriots (3-2) scored 22 and allowed 18.8 points a game over their last 5.
Who’s out
- New England Patriots: A.J. Brown (WR) – Questionable
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 11:20 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.