New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins prediction
NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium · CBS
Mel’s pick
New England Patriots win 59% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.
- New England Patriots: 59%
- Miami Dolphins: 41%
Projected score
New England Patriots 28, Miami Dolphins 21. 19% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Mel’s margin (New England Patriots by about 6.8) is close to the line (New England Patriots −7), so there’s no real lean against the spread.
The total is 41.5; Mel projects 48.5 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
New England Patriots (4-3) scored 26 and allowed 25.4 points a game over their last 5.
Miami Dolphins (1-5) scored 17 and allowed 26 points a game over their last 5.
Who’s out
- New England Patriots: A.J. Brown (WR) – Out
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Nov 1, 2:45 PM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.