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Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders prediction

NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Northwest Stadium · NBC

Mel’s pick

Washington Commanders win 55% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.

Projected score

Philadelphia Eagles 23, Washington Commanders 24. 22% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Washington Commanders −6.5. Mel projects Washington Commanders by 0.6, so the simulation leans Philadelphia Eagles +6.5 against the spread.

The total is 40.5; Mel projects 46.6 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Philadelphia Eagles (2-5) scored 15.8 and allowed 26.6 points a game over their last 5.

Washington Commanders (1-4-1) scored 22 and allowed 29.6 points a game over their last 5.

Who’s out

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Nov 1, 8:12 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.