Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders prediction
NFL · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Northwest Stadium · NBC
Mel’s pick
Washington Commanders win 55% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game.
- Philadelphia Eagles: 45%
- Washington Commanders: 55%
Projected score
Philadelphia Eagles 23, Washington Commanders 24. 22% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Washington Commanders −6.5. Mel projects Washington Commanders by 0.6, so the simulation leans Philadelphia Eagles +6.5 against the spread.
The total is 40.5; Mel projects 46.6 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Philadelphia Eagles (2-5) scored 15.8 and allowed 26.6 points a game over their last 5.
Washington Commanders (1-4-1) scored 22 and allowed 29.6 points a game over their last 5.
Who’s out
- Philadelphia Eagles: DeVonta Smith (WR) – Out
- Washington Commanders: Charles Omenihu (LDE) – Questionable
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Nov 1, 8:12 AM ET.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.