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Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

NHL · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Benchmark International Arena · ESPN+

Result

Final: Winnipeg Jets 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (Tampa Bay Lightning won). Mel’s pick (Tampa Bay Lightning win 68% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Tampa Bay Lightning win 68% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Winnipeg Jets 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Tampa Bay Lightning by about 2.2) is close to the line (Tampa Bay Lightning −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 5.5; Mel’s projected 5.7 is right around it.

Recent form

Winnipeg Jets (4-5-3) scored 1.4 and allowed 3 goals a game over their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning (7-3-1) scored 4.2 and allowed 3.6 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 29, 9:11 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.